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Candlestick Reversal Patterns Five Part Series
The Art & Science of Active Trend Trading
Disclaimer U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this training. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. All Materials presented are for training purposes only . Traders should paper trade any new method prior to risk of personal capital.
A Quick Review
Candlestick History Charting method originating In Japan between the 18th century & late 1800’s Potentially used by Japanese Rice Traders Introduced to Western Traders by Steve Nison in the 1990’s Knowledge base and trading importance expanded by Steve Bigalow
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
What’s the Difference? Bar Chart vs Candlesticks Bullish
Bearish High
Open
Close
Open
Close Low
Primary & Best Candlestick Signals There are many, many Candlestick Patterns but these represent the Primary & Best Indecisive Doji/Spinning Tops Bullish Hammer Engulfing Patterns Piercing Line Harami Inverted Hammer Morning Star
Bearish Hanging Man Engulfing Patterns Dark Cloud Harami Shooting Star Evening Star
Kicker
Kicker
The Dynamic Doji - Doji’s and Spinning Tops show indecision between buyers & sellers - Clue: When present at past or moving averages potential trend reversal or break out - Price Action will tend to move in the direction of the open after a Doji/Spinning Top
Doji/Spinning Top Bullish 26%+ Gain from Signal to High in one month
Series of Doji’s at
&
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Week: Hammers & Hanging Men
- Hammer or Hanging Man?
Thanks See You Next Wednesday
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
Hammers & Hanging Men
- The Basics Shape
Small Body
Shadow must be 2X the Body
Hammers & Hanging Men Understanding what the line tell us? - Buyers Wrestled control from sellers during the trading period—but where it appears is equally important! R
- Shows levels & zones of and resistance
What’s Important—Context & Convergence
S
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Where the line forms—Uptrend or Downtrend? Quality of the line Magnitude/Range of the line—Bigger Better! Other Clues Defining Expectations & Failure of the Signal
Hammers & Hanging Men Quality of the Signal is determined by: 1. Where the Line appears—How long has the preceding trend been in place? Appearing after longer trends can have greater meaning 2. The Magnitude/Range of the Line
3. Convergence of other clues
Hammer Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Hammer Example
AAPL 11/16/12
What Happened
Hanging Man Only occurs after a Uptrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body
Resistance
Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Hanging Man Example
TNA 5-3-11
What Happened
Poor Quality Hammer or Hammer Failure Two Hammer examples: 1.
Too Close to Resistance of Moving Averages
2.
Appearing shortly after a new downtrend
AAPL 10/2012
Poor Quality Hanging Men or Hanging Men Failure Two Hanging Man examples: 1.
The lower wick entry signal as never triggered
2.
Pattern just coming out of consolidation—uptrend yes but new uptrend
QIHU 4-2013
Secrets of Trading Hammers & Hanging Men Understand the Parts: Resistance Zone
Zone
Action Points
1.
Stays in effect until a close violates signal high or low
2.
Both are self confirming signals
3.
High is Top of a Resistance Zone
4.
Low is Bottom of a Zone
5.
Hammer—expect testing of the wick
6.
Hammer use low of body as a stop after a break out or with Long legged Hammers
7.
Hammer middle of wick can be early entry
8.
Violating Low is max stop loss
9.
Hanging Man violating high is max stop loss
10. Both May Appear with other candlestick reversal patterns in series (Pay attention to this!)
Secrets of Trading Hammers Opens in Wick Entry 2
Opens above yesterday’s candle Entry 3
Stop From Entry 2 or 3
Opens in Wick Entry 1
Next Day Entries & Stops Hammer 1.
Max Stop Any Entry
Self confirming signals can be entered day of signal
Secrets of Trading Hanging Men Max Stop Any Entry Opens in Top Wick Opens in Wick Entry 1
Next Day Entries & Stops Hammer 1.
Opens in Lower Wick
Opens in Lower Wick Entry 2 Opens Below yesterday’s candle Entry 3
Self confirming signals can be entered day of signal
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Wednesday Shooting Stars and Inverted Hammers
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
Shooting Star Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle Wick must be 2X Body Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Shooting Star Shooting Star
-25% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Days Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Evening Star Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle 2nd Down day closes at least ½ way down candle from 2 days prior Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Evening Star Evening Star
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Inverted Hammer Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body Can be very powerful signal Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Inverted Hammer 30%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 Weeks
Inverted Hammer
Clue: Stochastics Oversold
Morning Star Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Body inside previous days candle 2nd Down day closes at least ½ way down candle from 2 days prior Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Morning Star 11%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Weeks
Morning Star
Clue: Stochastics @
Next Wednesday Engulfing Patterns, Piercing Lines & Dark Clouds
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
What do Candlesticks tell us immediately? -
Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle that day
(Buyers or Sellers) - This translates to being able to visually determine investor sentiment
- What does this do for you and your planning your trades? - In combination with trend, other candles, moving averages, i.e.; other clues they are predictive of potential trend reversals or pauses in existing trend
Bullish Engulfing Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Completely engulfs the previous days body. Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Bullish Engulfing 12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks
Bullish Engulfing
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Bearish Engulfing Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Completely engulfs the previous days body. Expected move back to Swing Low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Bearish Engulfing Bearish Engulfing
12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Piercing Line Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Must open below and close more than ½ way up preceding candle. Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Piercing Line 70%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Months
Piercing Line
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Dark Cloud Resistance
Only occurs after a uptrend. Must open above and close more than ½ way down preceding candle. Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Dark Cloud Dark Cloud
-9% Drop from Signal to Low in 2 days Clue: Overbought Stochastics
Bullish Harami Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Body inside previous days candle One of the most powerful signals Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Bullish Harami 13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks
Bullish Harami
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Bearish Harami Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle One of the most powerful signals Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Bearish Harami Bearish Harami
-20% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Weeks
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Wednesday Kicker Patterns—Bullish & Bearish & Review
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
What do Candlesticks tell us immediately? -
Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle that day
(Buyers or Sellers) - This translates to being able to visually determine investor sentiment
- What does this do for you and your planning your trades? - In combination with trend, other candles, moving averages, i.e.; other clues they are predictive of potential trend reversals or pauses in existing trend
Kicker Signal • Rare but very powerful • 2 Day Pattern • Investor Sentiment: o Bullish Kicker: Downtrend, a capitulation like move down, followed the next day by a gap up move o Bearish Kicker: Uptrend, Exhaustion move up, followed by a gap down move the next day
• Strong Reversal Clue
Kicker Only occurs after a downtrend. Can follow sell off gap down.
Swing High
Very Powerful Signal Next day opens up with a gap
Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Gap up
Kicker—Bullish 13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks
Bullish Kicker
Clue: Stochastics Oversold
Bearish Kicker Only occurs after a uptrend. Can follow exhaustion gap up. Very Powerful Signal Next day opens down with a gap
Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages Gap Down
Swing Low
Kicker—Bearish Bearish Kicker
-19%+ Gain from Signal to 100 day SMA in 26 days
Clue: Stochastics Divergence
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
The Art & Science of Active Trend Trading
Disclaimer U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this training. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. All Materials presented are for training purposes only . Traders should paper trade any new method prior to risk of personal capital.
A Quick Review
Candlestick History Charting method originating In Japan between the 18th century & late 1800’s Potentially used by Japanese Rice Traders Introduced to Western Traders by Steve Nison in the 1990’s Knowledge base and trading importance expanded by Steve Bigalow
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
What’s the Difference? Bar Chart vs Candlesticks Bullish
Bearish High
Open
Close
Open
Close Low
Primary & Best Candlestick Signals There are many, many Candlestick Patterns but these represent the Primary & Best Indecisive Doji/Spinning Tops Bullish Hammer Engulfing Patterns Piercing Line Harami Inverted Hammer Morning Star
Bearish Hanging Man Engulfing Patterns Dark Cloud Harami Shooting Star Evening Star
Kicker
Kicker
The Dynamic Doji - Doji’s and Spinning Tops show indecision between buyers & sellers - Clue: When present at past or moving averages potential trend reversal or break out - Price Action will tend to move in the direction of the open after a Doji/Spinning Top
Doji/Spinning Top Bullish 26%+ Gain from Signal to High in one month
Series of Doji’s at
&
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Week: Hammers & Hanging Men
- Hammer or Hanging Man?
Thanks See You Next Wednesday
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
Hammers & Hanging Men
- The Basics Shape
Small Body
Shadow must be 2X the Body
Hammers & Hanging Men Understanding what the line tell us? - Buyers Wrestled control from sellers during the trading period—but where it appears is equally important! R
- Shows levels & zones of and resistance
What’s Important—Context & Convergence
S
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Where the line forms—Uptrend or Downtrend? Quality of the line Magnitude/Range of the line—Bigger Better! Other Clues Defining Expectations & Failure of the Signal
Hammers & Hanging Men Quality of the Signal is determined by: 1. Where the Line appears—How long has the preceding trend been in place? Appearing after longer trends can have greater meaning 2. The Magnitude/Range of the Line
3. Convergence of other clues
Hammer Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Hammer Example
AAPL 11/16/12
What Happened
Hanging Man Only occurs after a Uptrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body
Resistance
Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Hanging Man Example
TNA 5-3-11
What Happened
Poor Quality Hammer or Hammer Failure Two Hammer examples: 1.
Too Close to Resistance of Moving Averages
2.
Appearing shortly after a new downtrend
AAPL 10/2012
Poor Quality Hanging Men or Hanging Men Failure Two Hanging Man examples: 1.
The lower wick entry signal as never triggered
2.
Pattern just coming out of consolidation—uptrend yes but new uptrend
QIHU 4-2013
Secrets of Trading Hammers & Hanging Men Understand the Parts: Resistance Zone
Zone
Action Points
1.
Stays in effect until a close violates signal high or low
2.
Both are self confirming signals
3.
High is Top of a Resistance Zone
4.
Low is Bottom of a Zone
5.
Hammer—expect testing of the wick
6.
Hammer use low of body as a stop after a break out or with Long legged Hammers
7.
Hammer middle of wick can be early entry
8.
Violating Low is max stop loss
9.
Hanging Man violating high is max stop loss
10. Both May Appear with other candlestick reversal patterns in series (Pay attention to this!)
Secrets of Trading Hammers Opens in Wick Entry 2
Opens above yesterday’s candle Entry 3
Stop From Entry 2 or 3
Opens in Wick Entry 1
Next Day Entries & Stops Hammer 1.
Max Stop Any Entry
Self confirming signals can be entered day of signal
Secrets of Trading Hanging Men Max Stop Any Entry Opens in Top Wick Opens in Wick Entry 1
Next Day Entries & Stops Hammer 1.
Opens in Lower Wick
Opens in Lower Wick Entry 2 Opens Below yesterday’s candle Entry 3
Self confirming signals can be entered day of signal
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Wednesday Shooting Stars and Inverted Hammers
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
Shooting Star Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle Wick must be 2X Body Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Shooting Star Shooting Star
-25% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Days Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Evening Star Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle 2nd Down day closes at least ½ way down candle from 2 days prior Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Evening Star Evening Star
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Inverted Hammer Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Shadow must be 2X the Body Can be very powerful signal Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Inverted Hammer 30%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 Weeks
Inverted Hammer
Clue: Stochastics Oversold
Morning Star Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Body inside previous days candle 2nd Down day closes at least ½ way down candle from 2 days prior Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Hammer
Morning Star 11%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Weeks
Morning Star
Clue: Stochastics @
Next Wednesday Engulfing Patterns, Piercing Lines & Dark Clouds
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
What do Candlesticks tell us immediately? -
Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle that day
(Buyers or Sellers) - This translates to being able to visually determine investor sentiment
- What does this do for you and your planning your trades? - In combination with trend, other candles, moving averages, i.e.; other clues they are predictive of potential trend reversals or pauses in existing trend
Bullish Engulfing Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Completely engulfs the previous days body. Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Bullish Engulfing 12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks
Bullish Engulfing
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Bearish Engulfing Resistance
Only occurs after a Uptrend. Completely engulfs the previous days body. Expected move back to Swing Low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Bearish Engulfing Bearish Engulfing
12.8%+ Gain from Signal to High in 6 weeks
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Piercing Line Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Must open below and close more than ½ way up preceding candle. Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Piercing Line 70%+ Gain from Signal to High in 2 Months
Piercing Line
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Dark Cloud Resistance
Only occurs after a uptrend. Must open above and close more than ½ way down preceding candle. Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Dark Cloud Dark Cloud
-9% Drop from Signal to Low in 2 days Clue: Overbought Stochastics
Bullish Harami Swing High
Only occurs after a downtrend. Body inside previous days candle One of the most powerful signals Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Bullish Harami 13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks
Bullish Harami
Clue: Oversold Stochastics
Bearish Harami Only occurs after a Uptrend. Body inside previous days candle One of the most powerful signals Color of candle doesn’t matter Expected move back to swing low, trend lines or moving averages
Swing Low
Bearish Harami Bearish Harami
-20% Drop from Signal to Low in 5 Weeks
Clue: Divergent Stochastics
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
Next Wednesday Kicker Patterns—Bullish & Bearish & Review
Golden Rule of Candlesticks Candlesticks and patterns require three criteria for proper interpretation: 1.
A Completed Line (Must wait for the time period to finish!)
2. Shape of the line of pattern 3. The Preceding Trend
A Quick Review Candles and Technical Analysis go together Powerful Tools – Only partially understood by most traders Immediate on investors sentiment
Greatly improve Reward/Risk on every trade in all time frames Be a detective – Look for the Convergence of Clues Presentation Material by: Active Trend Traders
What do Candlesticks tell us immediately? -
Single Candlesticks tell us immediately, who won the battle that day
(Buyers or Sellers) - This translates to being able to visually determine investor sentiment
- What does this do for you and your planning your trades? - In combination with trend, other candles, moving averages, i.e.; other clues they are predictive of potential trend reversals or pauses in existing trend
Kicker Signal • Rare but very powerful • 2 Day Pattern • Investor Sentiment: o Bullish Kicker: Downtrend, a capitulation like move down, followed the next day by a gap up move o Bearish Kicker: Uptrend, Exhaustion move up, followed by a gap down move the next day
• Strong Reversal Clue
Kicker Only occurs after a downtrend. Can follow sell off gap down.
Swing High
Very Powerful Signal Next day opens up with a gap
Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages
Gap up
Kicker—Bullish 13%+ Gain from Signal to High in 4 Weeks
Bullish Kicker
Clue: Stochastics Oversold
Bearish Kicker Only occurs after a uptrend. Can follow exhaustion gap up. Very Powerful Signal Next day opens down with a gap
Expected move back to swing high, trend lines or moving averages Gap Down
Swing Low
Kicker—Bearish Bearish Kicker
-19%+ Gain from Signal to 100 day SMA in 26 days
Clue: Stochastics Divergence
Live Examples
GO to the Charts!!
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